| A canny establishment conservative may be Biden’s greatest threat in 2024. But can she solve the Trump problem?  Photograph by John Tully / The Washington Post / Getty Recent polling has shown that Nikki Haley, the former governor of South Carolina and the only Republican woman running for President, fares best against President Joe Biden in a potential head-to-head race in 2024. That might make her stand out in a crowded primary field, if, like her fellow-candidates, she weren’t trailing so far behind former President Donald Trump in surveys of likely Republican voters. In a new dispatch from New Hampshire, Antonia Hitchens follows Haley on the trail and finds an optimistic and talented campaigner, one of relative youth, who is offering a vision of unity and national calm. “Do you remember, when you were growing up, how simple life was, how safe it felt?” Haley asks a crowd at one point. “Don’t you want that again?” There’s a logic to this kind of rhetoric, at least in theory. The ideas of a break from current leadership and a return to civic sanity are what voters say they want. The only problem, as Haley fights for what so far appears to be the title of a distant second place, is that no one seems interested in actually voting that way. Support The New Yorker’s award-winning journalism. Subscribe today » | 
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