In recent years, a small group of scholars has focussed on war-termination theory. They see reason to fear the possible outcomes in Ukraine. Photograph by Mila Teshaieva for The New Yorker A war is an armed conflict between two groups; when one side surrenders, the war ends. Or so we think, Keith Gessen writes, in a piece about the future of the war in Ukraine. In reality, there are a host of complicating factors. One side might accept a certain set of terms, but what if the winner keeps inventing new ones? What if one or both sides don’t honor a peace deal? And what if a leader continues fighting an unwinnable war—just to hold on to power? Gessen talks to numerous experts in the field of war termination about what could happen next in Ukraine, and the implications of Vladimir Putin’s call for a “partial mobilization” of troops in Russia. As one expert says, “This will shape the rest of the twenty-first century. If Russia loses, or it doesn’t get what it wants, it will be a different Russia afterward. If Russia wins, it will be a different Europe afterward.” —Jessie Li, newsletter editor |
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